Post image for Where This Blog is Headed

Why read what I write? What are my plans for alexvermeer.com, and why should you care?

The start of a new year is the chance to review our plans and get the most out of the next year. A big part of my review and planning this year revolved around this blog.

A while ago I wrote what I want this blog to be: valuable, structured, imperfect, regularly updated, honest, referential, broad, deep, and truth-seeking. These are ‘meta’ goals – and all still true – from before I had ironed out exactly what I wanted to write about.

There have recently been a bunch of popular books about human psychology, such as:

What I’ve read so far about cognitive psychology, rationality, and the like is fascinating stuff! It’s a true shame to think many people will never learn about it! And not just because it’s cool, but because it’s useful too. Just think how our political systems would be improved if there was a universal understanding of our motivations and thought processes, and how to make better decisions and judgements! Same goes for donating to charity, philanthropy, thinking about global issues, business, buying a house, raising kids, etc. etc..

That it, in essence, my “reason why”. Humanity is pretty awesome, but has some embarrassing and shameful history. There is this sense that so much more is possible, that our potential is vast, that how far we have come is the tip of the iceberg on how far we can rise.

The other day I took out a stack of books from the library that I’m enthusiastically planning on reading (though I maybe got carried away with how many I took), including:

But I also realized a problem right away. Even for someone like me who whats to read them, it’s an intimidating amount of stuff to get through! This knowledge needs to be summarized, analyzed, and distilled for a broad audience – and this is exactly what I want to work on.

The popular books on human psychology are a good start. Take Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman, for example (which I’m reading right now). It is a simple, easy to follow explanation of the two-system human mind, with plenty of examples and anecdotes about how the mind works, common biases, and typical human irrationality.

But many people will not even read a whole book on such a topic, so it needs to be distilled even further.

The Topics

The basics

As I learn about logic, probability theory, decision theory, and rationality, I want to write concise, accessible summaries that highlight the key ideas and conclusions.

Self-awareness

Self-awareness involves a thorough understanding of our minds, our beliefs, and our values. The literature on heuristics and biases, rationality, behavioral psychology, cognitive science is very applicable here.

Self-mastery

Self-awareness should naturally flow into self-mastery. If we understand how our minds work for and against our goals, we should find ways to build off our strengths and improve or avoid our weaknesses.

If we can’t apply what we learn about probability and decision theory, rationality, and psychology to our lives, then the knowledge is mostly useless. Rationalists should win!

Motivations

Self-awareness and self-mastery are ultimately motivated by something other than themselves, such as the desire to make the world a better place, to get that promotion, or to be a good partner.

Closing Thoughts

Over the last month I finally upped my posting to three times a week. I plan to keep this schedule throughout 2012.

I am far from being an expert on any of the above (yet). My hope is that the time and effort I put in to learning, summarizing, and distilling this knowledge will save you time and be useful.

You, dear reader, are the ultimate judge of my work. If you find it confusing or useless, then I’ve done something wrong.

Here’s to all of us getting the most out of the next year.

///

Image by Hamed Saber.

Post image for First World Problems – reddit.com

Sometimes I need to take a step back and remember how amazing we have it in a developed country, and have a good laugh at myself for being worried or angry or stressed about relatively minor things. Perfect examples can be found on reddit‘s First World Problems page. People post their problems that could only happen in a First World country. From reddit:

If it’s a problem you can only have if you have money we’ll feel bad for you. Then we’ll feel guilty for having enough money to have the same problem.

Some favorites from the last time I looked:

  • My barista didn’t make any patterns with the milk in my latte this morning.
  • My electric toothbrush died and now I have to move my arm.
  • Some guy was using the middle urinal.
  • My favorite song was used on glee…
  • I had my shoes shined and one is shinier than the other.
  • My plumber installed my toilet seat off-centered.
  • I live in the richest country in the world, but everyone keeps telling me it is collapsing, which makes my brow furrow unattractively while I comfortably sip my latte.

Check it out: First World Problems. Caution: Reddit is potentially a huge procrastination hazard. You’ve been warned!

///

Image from thechive.com

Followup to: Anticipations and Falling Off Cliffs

Your beliefs should create expectations.
Demand they pay in anticipations!
Ask of them, “What things will happen?”
Just be careful when you test ’em!

///

Post image for Anticipations and Falling Off Cliffs

Good beliefs provide ways for us to verify them.

They make us anticipate that something will happen, which we can go and verify in the real world. But, even if you have beliefs which are ‘good’ in this sense, keep in mind that your beliefs may still turn out to be wrong!

Maybe you have various ideas about what sorts of foods are healthy and what foods are not? Likely, then, you anticipate that if you were to eat a lot of these foods you will get healthier.

Someone who thinks fast food is the pinnacle of healthy food is in for a surprise. Hopefully, if they are open to changing their beliefs, they would realize it’s not working (verification!) and do some research or try something else.

The Simple Truth by Eliezer Yudkowsky is a short story that defends the idea that ‘truth’ is actually a very simple concept. There is a good example at the end of the story that illustrates the importance that your beliefs create anticipations that can be verified. But also, just because your beliefs can be verified doesn’t necessarily mean they are right! Here is the snipped from the end (note: it’s best if you read the whole thing, but the example can still stand alone):

Inspector Darwin looks at the two arguers, both apparently unwilling to give up their positions. “Listen,” Darwin says, more kindly now, “I have a simple notion for resolving your dispute. You say,” says Darwin, pointing to Mark, “that people’s beliefs alter their personal realities. And you fervently believe,” his finger swivels to point at Autrey, “that Mark’s beliefs can’t alter reality. So let Mark believe really hard that he can fly, and then step off a cliff. Mark shall see himself fly away like a bird, and Autrey shall see him plummet down and go splat, and you shall both be happy.”

We all pause, considering this.

“It sounds reasonable…” Mark says finally.

“There’s a cliff right there,” observes Inspector Darwin.

Autrey is wearing a look of intense concentration. Finally he shouts: “Wait! If that were true, we would all have long since departed into our own private universes, in which case the other people here are only figments of your imagination – there’s no point in trying to prove anything to us -”

A long dwindling scream comes from the nearby cliff, followed by a dull and lonely splat. Inspector Darwin flips his clipboard to the page that shows the current gene pool and pencils in a slightly lower frequency for Mark’s alleles.

Autrey looks slightly sick. “Was that really necessary?”

Necessary?” says Inspector Darwin, sounding puzzled. “It just happened… I don’t quite understand your question.”

Read the full story here: The Simple Truth by Eliezer Yudkowsky.

///

Image by aussiegal.